In the years that followed, global supply chains were established in various industries.
Regionalizing supply chains
WHEN THE HOME PORT CALLS
The globalization of supply chains has helped European companies to become more efficient in recent years. But as current crises worsen, the risks are becoming clearer. For this reason, nearshoring is now on the agenda of management meetings at many companies. What are the advantages of nearshoring – and is regionalization worthwhile even with volatile logistics costs?
IBM’s employees were so fond of the company that they gave it a pet name: Big Blue. It sounded powerful, sublime and ironically, it also sounded like a blue whale disappearing into the distance. That was the situation at IBM in the early 2000s.
America’s former favorite has since shifted jobs en masse to low-wage countries like India, Brazil and China, stating that IBM was a global company and that labor costs were simply too high in the USA.
At that time, IBM was an extremely controversial example of offshoring, but many other companies soon followed suit. Industry giants like Siemens also relocated jobs and production sites abroad, as did manufacturers in the clothing and toy manufacturing sectors. They all saw Asia or South and Central America as a great opportunity, because ultimately the labor costs were a price advantage, despite additional logistics costs. This led to many companies reducing the amount they produced in Europe or the USA – or relocating their business altogether.
In the years that followed, global supply chains were established in various industries in a number of different countries, and products were sent all around the world before reaching the end consumer. The system worked well and made good economic sense – for the time being, that is. Because the concept of free trade has been weakening for some years now – economic tensions between China and the USA, protectionism and new tariffs have created uncertainty on the markets. Since the coronavirus pandemic, the rules of the global game have changed.
In the years that followed, global supply chains were established in various industries.
Logistics costs have risen sharply in recent years. Due to the pandemic, production and vital hubs all over the world – such as ports and airports – ground to a halt, bringing global logistics networks to a standstill. This resulted in enormous cost increases and bottlenecks. There was suddenly one issue being hotly debated in many executive boardrooms: How do we source our products and raw materials for production? As the situation eased, some companies tried to prepare for the future and reduce their reliance on factors outside of their control by keeping as much stock as possible.
It was clear though, that alternatives to the global just-in-time approach would need to be found in the medium term, so as to ensure a resilient supply chain. A regional, diversified multi-sourcing strategy allows supply chains to become much more resilient. Discussions then moved on to bringing production back closer to sales markets again, according to executives from 1,500 companies in 15 industrialized countries who were surveyed by BCG in February 2022. Even though nearshoring and reshoring have been in the spotlight for some years now, it was thanks to the pandemic that they suddenly shot to the top of the priority list at many businesses around the world.
So, how do things stand now?
A good three years after the pandemic, interest has subsided slightly. Logistics costs have temporarily fallen again and the risk of supply chain failures has decreased. Yet the number of early adopters is on the increase: Companies looking to the future, such as fashion giant C&A, have reverted to producing in Germany again after over 20 years; ski specialist Salomon is bringing production of its footwear back to its high-tech factory in France; and IT service providers are suddenly no longer moving to India but to the Algarve in Portugal. The country scores with high quality coupled with low labor costs compared to Northern Europe and has now received so many requests to establish company bases that sometimes they would get the response: “Sorry, we haven’t got any more capacity.”
This is hardly surprising, as there are many advantages of regional supply chains. Nearshoring reduces supply chain risks and increases transparency. If we look at existing and future regulations, which often involve the control of the business’ own suppliers and upstream suppliers being located only a short distance away offers enormous benefits.
Furthermore, there is an increasing focus on sustainability: Are the materials sustainable? Is production sustainable? How can CO2 emissions be reduced?
Thanks to highly automated, state-of-the-art production and shorter supply chains, nearshoring can play a crucial role in the green revolution.
In addition, partially relocating production and developing parallel production capacities close to sales markets can increase flexibility. Especially in the end-customer market, the last few years have shown that volatility is rising sharply. Companies find it difficult to respond to this when delivery by sea takes several weeks.
Relocating often makes economic sense, too. When senior managers calculate the total cost and price in premiums for risk and sustainability, suppliers in Asia are no longer always the cheapest option. To obtain a systematic overview, it’s important to consider the Total Cost of Ownership (TCO). This also includes working capital effects due to excessive inventories as well as the benefits of a shorter time-to-market.
Nearshoring requires an initial investment that a company must be willing to make. Although in the medium term, this is worth it from the perspective of risk management, sustainability, and transparency, as it is critical to put plans in place before the next crisis arrives and supply chains grind to a standstill once more.
Early adopters can currently secure advantages such as economic policy incentives. Countries like Portugal, Turkey, and Morocco offer attractive subsidies or other tax advantages. To make a well- informed decision, however, cross-company analyses must be carried out.
Companies that consider nearshoring will ideally begin by carrying out an analysis of the current situation, which they can then use to determine the next steps. This could be establishing a second regional supplier, or by giving production as a whole a more regional focus. Both options need to be initiated at C-level and checked against the company’s overall strategy and the supply chain strategy.
The first step toward possible regionalization is to carry out a risk analysis. In doing so, it is important to analyze exactly which product groups are suited to a nearshoring process. A comprehensive review of the Total Cost of Ownership is an important part of the evaluation. Alongside the purely product-related costs, this figure should also include the costs for logistics and overheads, e.g. for compliance and administration. In addition, the calculation needs to take risk and sustainability premiums into consideration.
This step should include an overarching review and evaluation of the risks: What are the risks? How likely are they to occur? And what alternatives already exist in the supply chains today that could potentially be developed further? Furthermore trade policy risks and sustainability criteria must also be taken into account. Most companies currently still focus on their immediate suppliers, but not on upstream suppliers. However, this is often where the risks that may become important in the future can occur. Only a comprehensive risk analysis will fully consider this aspect.
As part of checking and evaluating the risks, a structured overview of the entire supplier pool can be created. This then serves as a basis for decision-making.
Total Cost of Ownership perspective(TCO)
#a0d60a;"> • Product price incl. cost breakdown and pricing of individual cost components
• Transport prices through altered supply chains, in part also including transport routes of certain upstream products (Important: Analyze different transport route scenarios to reflect fluctuations in the real world as accurately as possible)
• Overhead costs due to reduced or increased regulation, administration, employee training, product tests, etc.
• Sustainability costs: Reductions in CO2 emissions, potentially on the basis of the current CO2 price
• Risk-related costs: Quantifying default risks
Once a risk analysis has been carried out, the next step is to look at procurement. This is where you ascertain the location of other potential suppliers. They might be in Eastern Europe for the European sales market, for example, and in Central America for the USA. In both regions, labor costs are still considerably lower. Strategies like friendshoring should be included. This has come to the fore more than ever given Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Essentially, it is better to choose a trustworthy country with stable political ties and where costs are a little higher rather than be caught off-guard by a political crisis down the road that could have far-reaching consequences for your own company’s supply chain, reputation, and, ultimately, its very existence.
Depending on the industry, increased automation may even open up the possibility of bringing the majority of production to high-wage countries like Germany– as was the case with Gigaset. The office telephone manufacturer has built an ultra-modern facility where virtually everything is done automatically in Bocholt, in the north-west of the country. Kitchen accessories manufacturer Fackelmann has also brought part of its production back to the Franconian countryside.
Including new suppliers in these considerations is just as important as constructing new production sites with trusted suppliers. A parallel infrastructure could be set up with a supplier previously located in Asia. The advantage is that processes and standards are already established and this type of collaboration can strengthen supplier commitment.
Friendshoring, or “allied shoring” is a new concept originally from the United States that is designed to make supply chains more resilient. Limiting the manufacture and procurement of raw materials and products to friendly nations is a way to avoid supply disruption on account of geopolitical risks, such as China’s zero-Covid policy or the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Friendshoring does entail certain risks, however, including
Complete regionalization will only make sense in a small number of cases, however. Firstly, certain raw materials only occur in particular regions or are mainly mined and processed in those areas. Certain upstream suppliers, too, are mainly located in one area because a cluster has formed there. This shouldn’t be disregarded when planning regionalization, because relocating your own production makes little sense if the majority of raw materials need to come from Asia. Especially with regard to rare earths, a certain dependency on suppliers will be unavoidable, and the West will continue to be dependent on Taiwan for chip and semiconductor production as it will take several decades to build up sufficient production sites of their own. Secondly, a multi-sourcing approach is also the most effective means of spreading supply chain risk.
So, what is the best way forward? The goal is to create a healthy mix of regional, national, and international suppliers. Where regionalization is feasible and makes economic sense, this can be considered. If it makes economic sense to keep part of production in a country close by, e.g. because of very low wages, this can also be a building block in the strategy. For raw materials and primary products that cannot be procured from elsewhere, despite lengthy delivery times and high dependency on one region, the objective should be to create as resilient a supply chain as possible across the continents and to draw up an action plan to implement in case of any disruption.
Alongside the dependence on certain regions, for raw materials for example, problems can also rise because particular products are simply unavailable in that region. This applies, for example, to textiles or ingredients for cosmetics and pharmaceuticals, where Asian markets dominate. In order to avoid this reliance, it can make sense to build up your own capacities on site.
These types of projects require considerable planning and time, however. For instance, setting up a sole proprietorship in France to produce batteries for electric vehicles would entail significant investment and additional risks. These can be minimized through collaborations and partnerships. Suppliers with whom production facilities have already been set up in other parts of the world can act as partners. Moreover, businesses within the industry should exchange information and check with interest groups whether such projects can be implemented with other companies, so as to share the planning and investment risk.
Once all of these aspects have been taken into consideration, we move to the final step of implementing the strategy throughout the company. This initially involves integrating the new strategy into individual product groups that then serve as flagship projects in the future. If converting or expanding the supply chain to additional suppliers nearby works well, this can be the starting point for further relocations.
Success must be continually monitored from this point on. In addition to monitoring completely new suppliers in the supply chain, this includes liaising with existing suppliers that have built up new production capacities for their own company, or who want to expand. Since change like this is always associated with risks, it’s important to safeguard the business through control management systems. Firstly, these create transparency and the option to step in should any issues arise during implementation. Secondly, they help to derive learning insights and best practices that can be helpful for future initiatives.
Since 2019, Oliver Idem has been an expert for the business locations Spain and Portugal at Germany Trade & Invest (GTAI). Both countries had to struggle with the consequences of the Coronavirus pandemic, but things are now looking up again. In this interview, he explains how companies can benefit from this.
Portugal is basically a safe and very stable country. Such factors were quite unspectacular a few years ago, but this is now a big plus. During the pandemic, a bicycle exporter had a real issue when his bikes got stuck in a port in China. He can always get them to Germany from Portugal, by truck if need be. I think that‘s a good example of why Portugal is very attractive for many companies right now.
The country‘s productivity development has been twice as high as the EU average since 2015. However, companies do not focus on quantity, but on quality. If you are looking for cheap mass production, you will not be in the right place in Portugal. The country has a good sustainability strategy and receives a lot of funding from the European Union for this purpose. Portugal is also an important country for startups, boasting over 2,000, many of which are also active in the field of sustainability.
First of all, in addition to many micro and small companies, there are also many medium-sized and very modern companies in the country, comparable to Germany or France. Relevant sectors are, for example, the metal and plastics industry as well as mold making. There are also many textile manufacturers, among others for leather shoes and clothing. The companies behind them are often of a size where they are still very agile and can react quickly to requests.
I have heard about these reports, but I cannot confirm them in general. This may be true for some medium-sized manufacturers. On the contrary, there are industries in which both supply and demand are becoming more and more widespread.
This applies, for example, to IT services and software development. Right now, real centers are being created for this in Portugal. If a German company is active in the field of cyber security, for example, it can have the software developed in Portugal. This should also be considered as more trustworthy than in some other countries in the world.
The country has recovered well in the meantime. It is back to pre-crisis levels. The labor market is also proving robust. But Portugal is one of the EU countries with the highest levels of debt, along with Greece, Italy and Spain. This is because limited government financial strength means, for example, that domestic support programs and subsidies are sometimes not consistently available, and companies should certainly keep that in mind.
In the medium term, however, I am expecting moderate growth. Hydrogen will play a major role, and Portugal also started early in restructuring its economy sustainably, which will pay off in the long term. In January, for example, the country sourced 84 percent of its electricity needs from renewable sources.
Portugal first gives the impression of being a very reliable debtor. Moreover, the country wants to reduce its debt. However, due to the high level of debt, banks are quite cautious when granting loans in Portugal. Those who want to do business with Portuguese companies should perhaps offer attractive financing solutions themselves; this can help to get into business.
In principle, Spain and Portugal are well suited for nearshoring because they can score points with their reliability. Both countries also have a lot in common and work together in some areas, such as hydrogen. Coronavirus caused Spain‘s economic output to slump even more than Portugal‘s – by eleven percent. However, the country recently had similar growth rates. Even for the next few years, experts are predicting 1.4 to 2 percent – for many other EU countries, the forecasts are worse. However, the Spanish economy is not quite back to pre-crisis levels yet.
It‘s true that Spain not only has its own automotive suppliers, but many German automotive suppliers now also have a branch here. There is even a joint platform where Spanish automotive suppliers present themselves. So there is still a lot of potential here. The country also has a large food and beverage industry, for which the business development agency ICEX has set up its own website. The broad-based chemical industry is also one of the most important export sectors. Here, the major challenge at present is to tackle the decarbonization of production. This also applies to manufacturers of paper, steel and cement. These can become interesting partners for machine builders.
Correct, for this the country is relying on transformation and renewable energies and hydrogen. Large photovoltaic parks and offshore wind farms also play a major role. Many more projects are in the approval process in these areas. However, there is also a catch. While many measures have already been approved, companies have traded these approvals among themselves. This has created a certain backlog, which is why many projects are at a standstill and it is unclear exactly when they will be implemented. But if the country manages to get rid of that, it can take a big leap forward.
The Spanish and German economies are closely linked and there are also long-standing supply relationships. However, less information is available on this than in Portugal. For European companies, a look at Spain can be worthwhile, because the companies here are considered reliable partners. In the automotive sector, Morocco is both a partner and a competitor for Spain. Antolin, Gestamp and Teknia, for example, manufacture automotive parts in Morocco. My impression is that Spain is the more established production location, but Morocco is working energetically to catch up. //
When businesses think about looking for suppliers or partners in Morocco, they often need a helping hand. Michael Sauermost has spent the last three-and-a-half years living there. As a correspondent for Germany Trade & Invest (GTAI) in Casablanca, he reports on market opportunities for medium-sized German companies. In this interview, we find out which sectors are currently the most active.
Generally speaking, Morocco is a key partner for Europe’s economy. The free trade agreement with the EU offers excellent conditions for this. French and Spanish companies are ahead in many areas for historical or linguistic reasons. Nonetheless, more and more German companies are establishing a presence in the country.
This is mainly a consequence of the coronavirus pandemic. As a result, global supply chains have been restructured, and Moroccan companies now prefer direct supply relationships. Prior to this, the picture was somewhat distorted. It was common practice for “Made in Germany” products to be dispatched to Moroccan ports through French or Spanish sales partners or subsidiaries. These exports were then reported in those other countries’ trade statistics. This triangular approach is slowly being abandoned, though. The pandemic has meant that German companies are now increasingly looking for direct contact with business partners in Morocco. And they can tell that Morocco has that sense of momentum.
There is a lot going on right now. Morocco reaching the semi-final of the Football World Cup at the end of 2022 – the first African nation to do so – is symbolic of this. This is because Morocco has also established itself as an economic pioneer on the continent of Africa. The progress it has made in terms of renewable energy is impressive. The focus is on solar and wind in equal measure. Morocco will also pass on its experience and insights to other African countries. The next steps include producing green hydrogen and expanding electromobility. Morocco’s automotive sector is now the biggest in Africa, and it will continue to develop through the use of next-generation technology. This is a country focusing firmly on the future. The same applies to football: Morocco is bidding to host the 2030 World Cup, jointly with Spain and Portugal.
That’s right. And for good reason, given its geographical proximity to Europe. The country is already well connected to the south, at least with French-speaking Africa. Consultants and lawyers have already put out feelers in that direction, and companies that already have a foothold in Morocco can benefit from this as well. However, there needs to be progressive growth of free trade among the African states to truly open up this gateway. It will take a considerable amount of time to implement the African Continental Free Trade Area that was agreed. Moreover, the logistical and infrastructural requirements for this still need to be fulfilled in some countries.
Essentially, there are two major parts. Firstly, there is the non-organized sector, which is made up of many small businesses that are often run by families. They include retailers, craftspeople, and businesses operating in the agricultural or tourism sectors. These small companies continue to form the backbone of Morocco’s economy. Informal businesses rarely get a mention on the international scene, however.
This consists primarily of the export industries. Morocco has a very international focus. Both the Moroccan government and its King want industry to diversify and modernize – this is still crucial. In particular, the industrial funding program from 2014 to 2020 required pioneering advances. International manufacturers in the automotive and aerospace industries set up in industrial zones. The entire development was accompanied by the creation of first-class infrastructure. Two prestige projects in particular stand out: The deep-sea port of Tanger Med is now the largest in the whole Mediterranean region – and the largest in all of Africa. Also, high-speed trains operate between Tangier and Casablanca. Further express train connections to Marrakech and Agadir are being built, too.
The government aims to position the country even more broadly as an industrial and export nation, and increase recognition of the “Made in Morocco” label both nationally and internationally. In addition to automobiles and aviation technology, export sectors identified as having potential are textiles, food processing, pharmaceuticals, and IT outsourcing. The Ministry of Industry is working on the concept for import substitution. The aim is to reduce the amount of imports by promoting local industry. Sardines are a classic case in point: Sardines should not have to be exported to Spain, and then reimported back into Morocco in canned form. Generally speaking, it is safe to assume that German-Moroccan trade can benefit from the initiatives in both directions. On the one hand, Morocco is growing in popularity as a procurement market. On the other hand, more machines are required on production sites.
Morocco will be reliant on investment from abroad in the future, too. Last year saw the adoption of a new investment charter. The share of private investments in the total volume is set to increase from one-third to two-thirds. Furthermore, the country wants to encourage investment in rural areas, away from the big conurbations. To do this, the authorities have already given greater powers to the regional investment centers. You don’t have to apply for everything centrally through Rabat anymore. As far as the economy is concerned, traditional areas will continue to play a major role, alongside emerging ones. On the one hand, there is the agricultural sector and retail; on the other, the discussion is centered on digitization and Power2X. //